Energy Scenarios 2050

The German government’s policy goal is a reduction in emissions of at least 40 percent by 2020 and 80 to 95 percent by 2050. While the energy transition until now has largely been characterized by an increase in renewable energy systems in rural areas, the expected future developments will concern the urban areas. Aside from decarbonisation and decentralisation on the side of generation, significant changes are happening on the consumption side with regard to power, gas, and heat. Mobility and heating will be increasingly electric – power, gas, and heat are increasingly converging.

This raises the question of which path the sector coupling of power, heating, and mobility will take in the future, and which effect these developments will have on the supply responsibilities in the network area of Rheinische NETZgesellschaft (RNG). Investments in network infrastructure are closely tied to high investment costs and sensitive interventions in nature and the environment. Considering the high degree of uncertainty in the further development of the energy transition, it is important to substantiate these investment decisions and minimise the risk of making investments which may prove in the future to no longer be necessary.

The goal of the project is to establish long-term scenarios for the future development of the energy demands (power, gas, and heating) of RNG’s networks. From these scenarios, the supply responsibilities of RNG can be derived, especially against the background of the energy transition.

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